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The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242381
We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and … measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic … vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242392
Regional integration has been seen in Africa as a means of encouraging trade and securing economies of scale. This paper examines in detail the prospects and challenges for trade expansion in the two most prominent arrangements in eastern and southern Africa: the Common Market for Eastern and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604840
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. METHODOLOGY -- III. SUMMARY RESULTS FOR LATIN AMERICA -- IV. COUNTRY-BY-COUNTRY RESULTS -- V. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX: DATA SOURCES AND DEFINITIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691198
impact on unemployment in the short term, but that this effect rapidly disappears in the medium term in countries with … with more rigid labor market institutions. These effects are even larger for youth unemployment in the short term and long …-term unemployment in the medium term. Conversely, large upfront, or gradual but significant, comprehensive labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572447
inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990724
While the unemployment rate in the Baltics has fallen sharply from its crisis-peaks, it remains close to double digits …. Our main findings are that the current still elevated levels of unemployment mostly reflect structural factors. We then … turn to why structural unemployment is so high. This paper points to skill mismatches, high tax wedges, and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959461
methodology is applied to Polish micro data. The estimates confirm that wages are less elastic in a high-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248228
productivity in Algeria is associated with higher unemployment than the sample average, though recent positive terms of trade … unemployment is higher in Algeria than in other countries. The results are robust to various panel econometric methods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248294
This paper considers the adjustment of physical capital within a country in the long run and in the short run. It uses a unique data set on income, labor, human capital, and private and public physical capital in the Spanish regions over the past two decades. In the long run, the movement of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263773