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In this paper potential financial linkages between liquidity and bank solvency measures in advanced economies and emerging market (EM) bond and stock markets are analyzedduring the latest crisis. A multivariate GARCH model is estimated in order to gauge the extent of co-movements of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528671
evidence of true contagion and common external shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561082
This paper examines several key global market conditions, such as a proxy for market uncertainty and measures of interbank funding stress, to assess financial volatility and the likelihood of crisis. Using Markov regime-switching techniques, it shows that the Lehman Brothers failure was a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008460596
14 developing and industrial countries. The results show that contagion was systemic during the period, with industrial … importance of studying them jointly. An implication of the empirical results is that models of contagion that exclude industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769188
This paper proposes a new measure of contagion that is good at anticipating future vulnerabilities. Building on … previous work, it uses correlations of equity markets across countries to measure contagion, but in a departure from previous … practice it measures contagion using the relationship of these correlations with distance. Also in contrast to previous work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599694
This paper presents evidence on the relative importance of alternative contagion channels during the Thai, Russian, and … to explain almost all contagion episodes. However, when crises are measured by stock market returns, trade links and … neighborhood effects appear to be relevant contagion channels during the Thai and Brazilian crises, while financial competition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605301
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of financial cycles using a large database covering 21 advanced countries over the period 1960:1-2007:4. Specifically, we analyze cycles in credit, house prices, and equity prices. We report three main results. First, financial cycles tend to be long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019580
This paper examines how Asian financial linkages with systemic economies have changed over time. After developing a factor model, it estimates Asian financial sensitivities to systemic economies, and then seeks to uncover their key determinants, which include trade and financial linkages, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242367
in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where … the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion … is empirically shown to have an independent effect beyond other contagion channels. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559279
Do the dynamics of net flows to U.S. retail mutual funds affect equity returns in emerging markets? The question merits further examination since retail investors in mutual funds can exert a much greater degree of "control" over these funds via cash injections or redemptions at any time. A VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263718