Showing 1 - 10 of 100
This paper studies the prospects for sustainable growth and economic development in Gabon, in the face of a severe decline in its main source of income and growth, i.e. oil. A simple Computable General Equilibrium model is used to simulate the development of the non-oil economy under various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605292
surpluses without a fall in consumption, capital inflows should be used to increase future output. This paper tentatively finds … following consumption booms. It also shows that many recent large current account deficits have been predominantly the result of … consumption or non-productive investment booms. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790435
We estimate consumption dynamics in the G-7 economies, paying particular attention to the possibility of precautionary … consumption growth. As such, consumption in the G-7 economies is unlikely to be the engine that revives global growth. Differences … in the pace and timing of consumption moderation have implications for the evolution of global imbalances. With the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561067
Why do many households remain exposed to large exogenous sources of non-systematic income risk? We use a series of randomized field experiments in rural India to test the importance of price and non-price factors in the adoption of an innovative rainfall insurance product. Demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690172
This paper studies how fiscal policy affects loan market conditions in the US. First, it conducts a Structural Vector-Autoregression analysis showing that the bank spread responds negatively to an expansionary government spending shock, while lending increases. Second, it illustrates that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409424
'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence of labor income uncertainty and credit constraints. Saving in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622528
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store-or-sow"" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615558
Household savings rates in the United States have recently crept up from all-time lows. Some have suggested that a …, our model predicts that such primary savings will increase, but only temporarily and modestly, as household assets … stabilize. As savings flows gradually accumulate, they help rebuild corporate net worth and hence firms' capacity to make capit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677868
We present a stylized real model of the Chinese economy with the objective of explaining two features: (1) domestic production is highly competitive in the sense that an accumulation of capital that raises the marginal product of labor elicits increases in employment and output rather than only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677576
income. We use household-level data to explain the postponing of consumption despite rapid income growth. Tracing cohorts … over time indicates virtually no consumption smoothing over the life cycle. Saving rates have increased across all … demographic groups, although the age-profile of savings has an unusual U-shaped pattern, with saving rates being the highest among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677609