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This paper studies the impact of green fiscal rules – designed to protect climate-related spending –on debt dynamics. Simulations of green rules that exempt green spending from the rule limits for an emergingmarket economy illustrate that they can lead to unsustainable debt dynamics when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080300
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. KEY FEATURES OF THE GLOBAL FISCAL MODEL -- III. CALIBRATING THE MODEL -- IV. THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF GOVERNMENT DEBT -- V. GOVERNMENT SPENDING SHOCKS AND PRIVATE CONSUMPTION -- VI. TAX DISTORTIONS AND THE BENEFITS OF TAX REFORM -- VII. THE EFFECTS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691006
Many countries have deployed substantial fiscal packages to cushion the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. A historical look at past pandemics and epidemics highlights concomitant public sector support in response to health crises. This paper assesses how fiscal multipliers could vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060236
This paper employs a two-country New Keynesian DSGE model to assess the macroeconomic impact of the changes in monetary policy frameworks and the fiscal support in the U.S. and euro area during the pandemic. Moving from a previous target of "below, but close to 2 percent" to a formal symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060056
Strengthening fiscal frameworks, in particular fiscal rules, has emerged as a key response to the fiscal legacy of the crisis. This paper takes stock of fiscal rules in use around the world, compiles a dataset - covering national and supranational fiscal rules, in 81 countries from 1985 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691153
This paper analyzes the scope for systematic rules-based fiscal activism in open economies. Relative to a balanced budget rule, automatic stabilizers significantly improve welfare. But they minimize fiscal instrument volatility rather than business cycle volatility. A more aggressively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677758
We study the welfare properties of an economy where both monetary and fiscal policy follow simple rules, and where a subset of agents is borrowing constrained. The optimized fiscal rule is far more aggressive than automatic stabilizers, and stabilizes the income of borrowingconstrained agents,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677523
We develop a optimal rules-based interpretation of the 'three pillars macroeconomic policy framework': a combination of a freely floating exchange rate, an explicit target for inflation, and a mechanism than ensures a stable government debt-GDP ratio around a specified long run. We show how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677709
This paper investigates the performance of fiscal rules in resource-rich countries (RRC). Using panel data for 57 commodity exporting countries from 1976 to 2021, we find that fiscal rules: (i) reduce the procyclicality of real public expenditures with terms of trade in oil exporting countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059472