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This paper provides new estimates of the housing stock, construction rates and price developments by city tier in China in order to understand where imbalances might be concentrated, and the implications of any significant contraction. We also update estimates of the size of China's rapidly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060047
This paper focuses on evidence from stock markets as it investigates the spillovers from the United States to mainland China and Hong Kong SAR during the subprime crisis. Using both univariate and multivariate GARCH models, this paper finds that China's stock market is not immune to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677827
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. HAVE SAVING RATES REALLY FALLEN? -- III. LIKELY IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INNOVATION AND LIBERALIZATION ON HOME EQUITY WITHDRAWAL ( HEW) AND SAVING -- IV. TRENDS IN HEWAND HOUSEHOLD SAVING ACROSS COUNTRIES -- V. HOW DOES HEW AFFECT HOUSEHOLD SAVING? -- VI....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691040
Households across Europe are struggling with a double crisis-the worst inflation shock since the World War II and a sudden correction in house prices. There is a rich literature on how housing price cycles affect consumer spending, finding mixed results with a wide range of consumption responses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058864
The rapid increase in house prices in the past few years, including during the COVID-19 pandemic, raises concerns about housing affordability. The price-to-income ratio is a widely-used indicator of affordability, but does not take into account important factors such as the cost of financing....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058897
With another real estate boom-bust bringing woes to the world economy, a quest for a better policy toolkit to deal with these boom-busts has begun. Macroprudential measures could be in such a toolkit. Yet, we know very little about their impact. This paper takes a step to fill this gap by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401203
This paper examines housing finance and housing price dynamics in selected emerging Middle Eastern economies over the past two decades. It finds that (i) mortgage markets have experienced rapid development, which has led to lower private per capita consumer spending volatility this decade; (ii) a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561070
The financial crisis showed, once again, that neglecting real estate booms can have disastrous consequences. In this paper, we spell out the circumstances under which a more active policy agenda on this front would be justified. Then, we offer tentative insights on the pros and cons as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019603
This paper discusses the potential macroeconomic implications for Hong Kong SAR of accommodative monetary policy in the United States. It shows, through model simulations, that a resumption of the credit channel in Hong Kong SAR has the potential to create inflation in both goods and asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677503
This paper documents developments in mortgage credit and the housing sector in Latin America over the past decade, and compares them with those of other emerging economies. In particular, it examines the real estate and mortgage markets to assess whether (i) growth in mortgage credit is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620961