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Pension Reforms in Japan.
Kashiwase, Kenichiro - 2012
Japan and the Role of Pensions -- Appendices -- I. Methodologies to Calculate Fiscal Savings from Reform Options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690157
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Pension Privatization and Country Risk
Cuevas, Alfredo - 2008
This paper explores how privatizing a pension system can affect sovereign credit risk. For this purpose, it analyzes the importance that rating agencies give to implicit pension debt (IPD) in their assessments of sovereign creditworthiness. We find that rating agencies generally do not seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677645
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Macroeconomic Effects of Pension Reform in Russia
Hauner, David - 2008
Putting the pension system on a sustainable footing arguably remains the biggest challenge in Russia's economic policies. The debate about the policy options was hitherto constrained by the absence of general equilibrium analysis. This paper fills this gap by simulating their macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677651
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The Determinants of Commercial Bank Profitability in Sub-Saharan Africa
Flamini, Valentina - 2009
Bank profits are high in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) compared to other regions. This paper uses a sample of 389 banks in 41 SSA countries to study the determinants of bank profitability. We find that apart from credit risk, higher returns on assets are associated with larger bank size, activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677708
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Quantifying impact of aging population on fiscal space
Park, Seok Gil - 2012
This paper quantitatively investigates how population aging trend affects fiscal space measured as unused revenue generating capacity by utilizing a standard neoclassical growth model. A calibration exercise for G-7 countries shows that France, Germany and Italy suffer greater revenue impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618513
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Chronicle of a decline foretold : has China reached the Lewis Turning Point?
Das, Mitali; N'Diaye, Papa M'B. P. - 2013
China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape. Within a few years the working age population will reach a historical peak, and then begin a precipitous decline. This fact, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009706770
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Global Aging and Declining World Interest Rates
Hoffmaister, Alexander W. - 2008
How will the world-wide decline in real interest rates associated with global aging affect small open economies (SOEs) with aging populations? Lower interest rates will result in higher capital-labor ratios and increased wages; higher wages, in turn, will be passed on to pension benefits,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677583
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Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century
Cheng, Kevin C. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825867
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Demographic Change in Asia; The Impacton Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account
McDonald, Ian; Bésanger, Serge; Guest, Ross - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103
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China’s Demography and its Implications
Lee, Il Houng; Qingjun, Xu; Syed, Murtaza H. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029