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The real effective exchange rate of the dollar is close to its minimum level for the past 4decades (as of September 2008). At the same time, however, the U.S. trade and currentaccount deficits remain large and, absent a significant correction in coming years, wouldcontribute to a further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677685
with shortfalls in GDP and government revenues. This increases the consumption volatility in aid dependent countries … volatility. Compared to the benchmark specification with stochastic aid flows, indexation of aid flows to terms of trade sh …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677584
The small states of the Asia and Pacific region face unique challenges in raising their growth potential and living standards relative to other small states due to their small populations, geographical isolation and dispersion, narrow export and production bases, exposure to shocks, and heavy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790232
This study aims to test within a relatively homogeneous group of small states what differentiates the growth performance of Pacific island countries (PICs) from their peers. We find that PICs are disadvantaged by distance and hampered by lower investment and exports compared with other small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242206
This papers estimates the equilibrium exchange rate for Armenia using three different approaches: the purchasing power parity (PPP) approach, the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach, and the external sustainability (ES) approach. All three approaches suggest that the dram was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825670
The number of studies attempting to estimate the "equilibrium" real value of China's currency has proliferated in recent years as the country's presence in world markets has grown. These studies have sought to establish whether or not a significant part of China's competitive prowess can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825966
Putting the pension system on a sustainable footing arguably remains the biggest challenge in Russia's economic … paper fills this gap by simulating their macroeconomic effects in a DSGE model calibrated to Russia's economy-the first of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677651
The paper takes stock of the debate on the positive link between output volatility and the size of government … government size-volatility relationship largely reflects temporary developments (better monetary management and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677598
Uganda has registered one of the most impressive economic turnarounds of recent decades. The amelioration of conflict and wide ranging economic reforms kick-started rapid economic growth that has now been sustained for some 20 years. But there is a strong sense in policy making circles that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248159
This paper focuses on two central issues related to the contrasting experiences of Malaysia and Pakistan regarding poverty reduction. First, it examines the structure of economic growth and its proximate determinants in the two countries, including the initial conditions, institutional changes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248163