Showing 1 - 10 of 546
The paper relies on a firm-level data on transition economies to examine the relationship between informality and bank … credit. We find evidence that informality is robustly and significantly associated with lower access to and use of bank … credit. We also find that higher tax compliance costs reduce firms' reliance on bank credit, while a stronger quality of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677574
The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign currency borrowing is cheaper when the exchange rate is positively correlated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677782
As is well known, most models of credit risk have failed to measure the credit risks in the context of the global financial crisis. In this context, financial industry representatives, regulators and academics worldwide have given new impetus to efforts to improve credit risk modeling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677818
concentrated in five banks?Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Citi. This note analyzes how such risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677829
We construct a country-level indicator capturing the extent to which aggregate bank credit growth originates from banks … with a relatively riskier profile, which we label the Riskiness of Credit Origins (RCO). Using bank-level data from 42 … robustly predicts downside risks to GDP growth even after controlling for aggregate bank credit growth and financial conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058545
Climate mitigation policies are being introduced around the world to limit global warming, generating new risks to the economy. This paper develops a continuous time heterogeneous agents model to study the impact of carbon pricing policy shocks on corporate default risk and the consequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059147
survey includes models of contagion between banks, models of contagion within the wider financial system including non-bank … modelling frontier faces three main challenges: (a) our understanding of the potential for amplification in sectors of the non-bank … financial system during periods of stress, (b) multi-sectoral models of the non-bank financial system to analyse the behaviour …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059148
We develop a mixed-frequency, tree-based, gradient-boosting model designed to assess the default risk of privately held firms in real time. The model uses data from publicly-traded companies to construct a probability of default (PD) function. This function integrates high-frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080331
This study investigates carbon pricing-induced credit risk, the potential negative impact of carbon pricing on firms' ability to meet their financial obligations. Applying a well-established credit assessment model to a novel data set combining financial statements and emissions data, we subject...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015411342
This paper illustrates how stress tests of banking systems may be designed to evaluate banks' reaction to shocks of increasing intensity, up to the point where regulatory norms are breached, or banks become insolvent. This approach offers useful insight and guidance for regulatory policy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409038