China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape …, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages and episodic labor shortages, has raised questions about whether China … labor shortage economy. Crossing this threshold will have far-reaching implications for both China and the rest of the world …

This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward … existing and new services as well as reorienting the production of tradable goods toward domestic markets. In China's case … paper shows that while rebalancing China's growth toward a domestic-demand-led economy would likely raise aggregate e …

Over the past decade, China's growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China's supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …