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This paper presents a fear theory of the economy, based on the interplay between fear of rare disasters and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060124
neutral technology shock compare in a marginal likelihood race. To that end we construct and estimate several competing small … different hypotheses that generate the empirically observed decline in worked hours after a positive technology shock. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621642
the structure of the economy can influence the speed of recovery and mitigate the persistence of the shock. Indeed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677840
The paper investigates how changes in industries' funding costs affect total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Based on panel regressions using 31 U.S. and Canadian industries between 1991 and 2007, and using industries' dependence on external funding as an identification mechanism, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677536
This paper examines the relative importance of external shocks as sources of business cycle fluctuations in Mexico, and identifies the dynamic responses of domestic output to foreign disturbances. Using a VAR model with block exogeneity restrictions, it finds that U.S. shocks explain a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677580
This paper identifies over 100 inflation shock episodes in 56 countries since the 1970s, including over 60 episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059085
Employment informality is widespread across North Africa. This paper aims to shed light on the role played by the informal sector in labor market adjustments over the business cycle. It finds that the response of labor markets to output fluctuations is more muted in countries with higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059182
This paper examines the relative importance of external shocks as sources of business cycle fluctuations in Mexico, and identifies the dynamic responses of domestic output to foreign disturbances. Using a VAR model with block exogeneity restrictions, it finds that U.S. shocks explain a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409022
This paper presents a version of the global integrated monetary fiscal (GIMF) model adapted and calibrated to the Argentine economy. The model replicates the effect of the strong improvement in Argentina's terms of trade stemming from higher world commodity prices as well as other key economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677786
The recent credit crisis started as a credit shock and then rapidly promulgated in the form of market and funding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012678160