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inflation. Through a novel consumption deflator decomposition, we show that import prices account for 40 percent of the average … convergence of inflation to target over the next two years. Monetary policy will thus need to remain restrictive to anchor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059338
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060429
This paper provides new evidence on the exchange rate passthrough to domestic inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA … depreciations cause sizable increases in domestic inflation. The passthrough in SSA is higher than in other regions and its …-standing view that strengthening monetary policy frameworks and credibility helps mitigate the impact of depreciations on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058609
Using both regression- and VAR-based estimates, the paper finds that the exchange rate pass-through to import prices for a large number of countries is incomplete and larger than the pass-through to export prices. Previous studies have reported similar results, which give rise to the puzzle that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622459
This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for commodity-exporting countries. The introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances domestic welfare through two channels. First, by reducing export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677894
This paper examines the impact of oil-related income, among other fundamentals, on the equilibrium real effective exchange rate (ERER) in Syria. After reviewing the evolution of the Syrian multiple exchange rate regime since 1960 and assessing alternative measures for the exchange rate, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677644
Intro -- Contents -- I. AN OIL STABILIZATION FUND FOR NIGERIA -- A. Introduction and Overview -- B. Views in the Literature -- C. Stabilizing Fiscal Spending -- D. Model Description -- E. Application to Nigeria -- References.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690979
This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and …, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically …-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142122
We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009423923
This paper studies tariff-tax reforms in a calibrated two-region global New Keynesian model composed of a developing and an advanced region. In our baseline calibration, a revenue-neutral reform that lowers tariffs in developing countries can reduce domestic welfare. The reason is that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615785