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-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes … flatter as inflation declines. Second, macroeconomic volatility shifts the Phillips curve outward, implying that stabilization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677671
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
This paper investigates inflation dynamics in Sudan using three different approaches: the single equation model, the …-conflict country that uses these three separate techniques to understand inflation dynamics. The use of these approaches is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677638
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE NONACCELERATING INFLATION RATE OF FACTOR UTILIZATION -- III. FACTOR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691060
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DATA AND METHODOLOGY -- III. INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS -- IV. RESULTS ACROSS CANADIAN PROVINCES -- V. EXTENDING THE CANADIAN MODEL -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- Data Appendix.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691050
A distinctive feature of market-provided services is that some of them have close substitutes at home. Households may therefore switch between consuming home and market services in response to changes in the real wage - the opportunity cost of working at home - and changes in the price of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621655
significant relationship between real wages and labor productivity, as well as evidence of wage pass-through to inflation. Terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677676
-- III. Survey of the Theoretical Debate -- IV. The Importance of Money for Inflation Forecasts -- V. Disaggregated Monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682180