Showing 1 - 10 of 714
This paper presents a number of facts about growth in Latin America, and shows how critical correlates of growth have evolved over time. In comparison with other regions, Latin America has consistently exhibited higher macroeconomic volatility, lower openness, and higher income inequality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264118
Several Central American (CADR) countries with independent monetary policies are strengthening their monetary frameworks and some have implemented or are moving towards inflation targeting (IT) regimes. Strengthening the monetary policy frameworks of CADR is key to improving the effectiveness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369451
This paper compares the pattern of macroeconomic volatility in 17 Latin American countries during episodes of high and low growth since 1970, examining in particular the role of policy volatility. Macroeconomic outcomes are distinguished from macroeconomic policies, structural reforms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825787
moderate declines in commodity prices and U.S. or world growth, but sensitive to more extreme shocks, particularly a combined … external slowdown and tightening of world financial conditions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826559
This paper examines the relationship between fixed exchange rate arrangements and trade using a gravity model of international trade together with bilateral trade data from 24 countries from the Caribbean and Latin America for the period 1960-2001. The analysis indicates that a credible fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768826
quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999967
The recent recovery in Latin America has been impressive but also raises the question whether this represents a fundamental break with the region's history of boom-bust cycles. The paper traces how this history of macroeconomic volatility and financial crisis over the past century has adversely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605362
The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we examine the middle-income trap as a special case of growth slowdowns, which are identified as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790409
We examine corporate sector vulnerabilities in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. First, we identify stylized facts based on corporate financial indicators. Second, we assess vulnerability of individual firms to a sudden stop in financing through a probit model, using a panel of 18...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242251
We study the history of terms-of-trade booms (during 1970–2012), with a focus on Latin America, through the prisms of a simple metric that quantifies the associated income windfall. We also document saving patterns during these episodes and propose a measure of how much of the income windfall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242443