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Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India?
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and …, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically …-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142122
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Public debt dynamics : the effects of austerity, inflation, and growth shocks
Cherif, Reda; Hasanov, Fuad - 2012
times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622446
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The Economic Performance Index (EPI): an Intuitive Indicator for Assessing a Country's Economic Performance Dynamics in an Historical Perspective
Khramov, Vadim; Lee, John Ridings - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990724
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The Declining Importance of Tradable Goods Manufacturing in Australia and New Zealand; How Much Can Growth Theory Explain?
Hunt, Ben - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
In this paper, the IMF's new Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the contribution of unbalanced growth to the decline in the share of goods production in Australia and New Zealand. The simulation results suggest that faster productivity growth in the tradable goods sector in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248284
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Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdownon Thai Growth
Aiyar, Shekhar; Tchakarov, Ivan - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in housing and credit markets, and high oil prices. While the share of Thai exports to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248323
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Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs
Phillips, Steven; Musso, Alberto - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001
analyses of the relationship between projections and outcomes for growth, inflation, and three balance of payments concepts …. Statistical bias is found only for projections of inflation and official reserves. Statistical efficiency can be rejected for all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263972
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Does the Business Environment Affect Corporate Investment in India?
Tokuoka, Kiichi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
Since the global financial crisis, corporate investment has been weak in India. Sluggish corporate investment would not only moderate growth from the demand side but also constrain growth from the supply side over time. Against this background, this paper analyzes the reasons for the slowdown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654154
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The Quest for Higher Growth in the WAEMU Region; The Role of Accelerations and Decelerations
Mlachila, Montfort; Kinda, Tidiane - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
tension, real exchange rates, and inflation. Second, as found elsewhere in the literature, there is a certain asymmetry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203539
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Vietnam; Bayesian Estimation of Output Gap
Maliszewski, Wojciech - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model, while treating the output gap as an unobservable series to be estimated together with other parameters. Model coefficients are easily interpretable, and the output gap series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560446
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The Transition Economies After Ten Years
Fischer, Stanley; Sahay, Ratna - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper summarizes the macroeconomic performance of the transition economies. We first review the initial conditions confronting these economies, the reform strategy that was proposed, and the associated controversies that arose a decade ago. We then account for the widely different outcomes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825770