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Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
This paper investigates inflation dynamics in Sudan using three different approaches: the single equation model, the …-conflict country that uses these three separate techniques to understand inflation dynamics. The use of these approaches is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677638
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE NONACCELERATING INFLATION RATE OF FACTOR UTILIZATION -- III. FACTOR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691060
novel harmonized dataset of sectoral producer price inflation and input-output linkages for more than 1000 sectors in 53 … that pandemic lockdowns, and subsequent reopening policies, were the most dominant driver of global inflation in this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058569
This paper identifies and quantifies the drivers of inflation dynamics in the three Baltic economies and assesses the … effectiveness of fiscal policy in fighting inflation. It also analyzes the macroeconomic impact of inflation on competitiveness by … focusing on the relationship between wages and productivity in the tradeable sector. The results reveal that inflation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058580
As in the rest of the world, inflation in CEMAC surged more quickly and persistently than expected during the 2021 …-23 period. This paper examines the drivers of inflation dynamics and the contribution of global shocks to inflation persistence … role of global factors in driving inflation dynamics. Global commodity food and oil price fluctuations, and shipping costs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058603
We study the global inflation surge during the pandemic recovery and the implications for aggregate and sectoral … differences in the inflation response across sectors imply the relative price of goods has been pro-cyclical this time around … calibrated exercise shows that the resulting changes to the output-inflation relation are quantitatively important and improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058764
-up in tradeable goods inflation. Despite this increase, inflation remained relatively contained as compared to regional … comparators. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of inflation dynamics in the region, with a focus on external … from 1987 to 2022, we find that external factors such as the imported inflation from main trading partners, mainly driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058847