-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …

We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and … measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic … vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with …

impact on unemployment in the short term, but that this effect rapidly disappears in the medium term in countries with … with more rigid labor market institutions. These effects are even larger for youth unemployment in the short term and long …-term unemployment in the medium term. Conversely, large upfront, or gradual but significant, comprehensive labor …

inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …

While the unemployment rate in the Baltics has fallen sharply from its crisis-peaks, it remains close to double digits …. Our main findings are that the current still elevated levels of unemployment mostly reflect structural factors. We then … turn to why structural unemployment is so high. This paper points to skill mismatches, high tax wedges, and unemployment …