This paper has two objectives. First, it reviews the recent dynamics of global imbalances (both “flow†and “stock†imbalances), with a special focus on the shifting position of Latin America in the global distribution. Second, it examines the cross-country variation in...

Views on the effectiveness of sterilized reserve intervention vary. Sterilized intervention is generally seen as ineffective in advanced countries while persistent intervention by some emerging markets is often cited as contributing to undervalued exchange rates and current account surpluses....

In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling to 24 percent by 2030 and rising even more precipitously thereafter. This paper uses the permanent income hypothesis to reassess national savings behavior, with greater...

Milton Friedman argued that flexible exchange rates would facilitate external adjustment. Recent studies find surprisingly little robust evidence that they do. We argue that this is because they use composite (or aggregate) exchange rate regime classifications, which often mask very...

The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has been developed by the IMF’s Research Department as a successor to the CGER methodology for assessing current accounts and exchange rates in a multilaterally consistent manner. Compared to other approaches, EBA emphasizes distinguishing...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. HAVE SAVING RATES REALLY FALLEN? -- III. LIKELY IMPACT OF FINANCIAL INNOVATION AND LIBERALIZATION ON HOME EQUITY WITHDRAWAL ( HEW) AND SAVING -- IV. TRENDS IN HEWAND HOUSEHOLD SAVING ACROSS COUNTRIES -- V. HOW DOES HEW AFFECT HOUSEHOLD SAVING? -- VI....

Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Household Data on Wealth and Consumption -- III. Capital Markets in Europe and Household Portfolios -- IV. The Life-Cycle Model of Consumption -- V. The Basic Model -- VI. Empirical Results -- VII. Conclusion -- Appendix: Data and Constructed Variables...

Using two recently constructed measures of trade liberalization dates, this research studies the impact of trade liberalization on imports, exports, and overall trade balance for a large sample of developing countries. We find strong and consistent evidence that trade liberalization leads to...

A reduced-form model approach was used to estimate the trade balance response to permanent domestic currency depreciation. For this purpose, long-run and short-run effects were estimated, using three modeling methods along with two real effective exchange rate measures. On average, a 1 percent...