Showing 1 - 10 of 511
consumption volatility. Calibration of the model for pre and post financial reform in India provides support for the model's key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790416
focused on tail events, which yields evidence on these questions. The results, for India, do not suggest that financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242270
estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142066
Doubts persist about the effectiveness of monetary transmission in emerging markets, but the empirical evidence is scarce due to challenges in identifying monetary policy shocks. In this paper, we construct new monetary policy shocks using novel analysts' forecasts of policy rate decisions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058572
The Covid-19 pandemic is expected to result in large and persistent losses in economic output, known as scarring. These losses were expected to be more severe in Emerging Markets than in Advanced Economies. This paper examines the impact of Covid on output in Emerging Markets so far and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059169
The unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) pursued by the advanced economies (AEs) have posed macroeconomic challenges for the emerging market economies (EMEs) through volatile capital flows and exchange rates. AE central banks need to acknowledge and appreciate the spillovers resulting from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790334
This paper documents the spread of fiscal rules in the developing world and investigates the relation between fiscal rules and procyclical fiscal policy. We find that, since the early 2000s, developing countries outnumbered advanced economies as users of fiscal rules. Rules were adopted either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123821
The impact of monetary policy in large advanced countries on emerging market economies—dubbed spillovers—is hotly debated in global and national policy circles. When the U.S. resorted to unconventional monetary policy, spillovers on asset prices and capital flows were significant,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123869
In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163121
We document that (i) although private investment growth in emerging markets has decelerated in recent years, it came down from cyclical highs and remains close to pre-crisis trends; and (ii) investment-to-output ratios generally remain close to or above historical averages. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242322