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are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this issue, we estimate an open …-economy, New Keynsian Phillips curve, in which we control for imported inflation. Regression results suggest that falling food and … energy prices have been the main disinflationary driver. But low core inflation in the euro area has also had a clear and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959481
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. TAXONOMY OF UNDERLYING INFLATION INDICATORS -- III. FEATURES OF THE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690993
weaker linkages bewteen inflation and real credit growth within Europe. While the euro area is the dominant source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242313
This paper evaluates the role of trade and financial linkages in the decision to enter a monetary union. We estimate a two-country DSGE model for the U.K. economy and the euro area, and use the model to compute the welfare trade-offs from joining the euro. We evaluate two alternative scenarios....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242323
This paper discusses comovement between inflation and output in the euro area. The strength of the comovement may not … frequency, the output and core inflation comovement is high and stable, and that inflation lags the cycle in output with roughly … half of its variance. The strong relationship of output and inflation hints at the importance of demand shocks for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242325
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
inflation. Through a novel consumption deflator decomposition, we show that import prices account for 40 percent of the average … convergence of inflation to target over the next two years. Monetary policy will thus need to remain restrictive to anchor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059338
What is the effect of carbon pricing on inflation? This paper shows empirically that the consequences of the European … Union's Emission Trading System (ETS) and national carbon taxation on inflation have been limited in the euro area, so far … EU's 'Fit-for-55' commitments on inflation. The required increase of effective carbon prices from around 40 Euro per ton …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058697
In 2021-22, inflation in Europe soared to multidecade highs, consistently exceeding policymakers' forecasts and … surprising with its wide cross-country dispersion. This paper analyzes the key drivers of the inflation surge in Europe and its …'s economies. Inflation is more sensitive to domestic slack and external price pressures in emerging European economies compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059690
Given the backdrop of pressing infrastructure needs, this paper argues that higher German public investment would not only stimulate domestic demand in the near term and reduce the current account surplus, but would also raise output over the longer-run as well as generate beneficial regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123846