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Currency option implied volatility predicts more efficiently exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty relative to the Czech koruna, reflecting differences in the frequency of central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market. A GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136
We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248142
price surveys. This paper provides evidence of substantial bias in their representation of such price changes. Their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248193
Based on a survey that we designed and that covers a stratified random sample of 12,400 firms in 120 cities in China with firm-level accounting information for 2002-2004, this paper examines the presence of systematic distortions in capital allocation that result in uneven marginal returns to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248196
This paper studies the factors that have influenced countries' participation in IMF drawing programs. IMF drawing programs are defined as the period of a Stand-By Arrangement or an Extended Fund Facilities program during which a country borrows from the Fund. Since this definition excludes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248203
probabilities improves the conditional probabilities of crisis in Indonesia. There is also evidence of contagion in the stock market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248271
from 98 countries, we find strong evidence for cointegration between nominal exchange rates and monetary fundamentals. We … also find fundamentalsbased models very successful in beating a random walk in out-of-sample prediction. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263651
experimental evidence on student subjects. A proportion of subjects, however, engage in contrarianism, something not accounted for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263673
This paper investigates convergence and dynamic effects of human and physical capital on growth, in WAEMU countries. Using recently developed models for panel data and a growth accounting model, the study finds that growth is largely explained by changes in literacy rates and factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263809
data allows us to provide new and clear-cut evidence on the determinants of international portfolio holdings. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263868