Government spending on infrastructure has recently increased sharply in many emerging-market economies. This paper examines the mechanism through which public infrastructure spending affects the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Using a two-sector dependent open economy model with...

We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When...

We reassess exchange rate prediction using a wider set of models that have been proposed in the last decade. The performance of these models is compared against two reference specifications-purchasing power parity and the sticky-price monetary model. The models are estimated in first-difference...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE MACROECONOMIC BALANCE APPROACH -- III. THE EXTENDED PPP APPROACH: SINGLE-COUNTRY ESTIMATES -- IV. THE EXTENDED PPP APPROACH: PANEL DATA ESTIMATES -- V. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- APPENDIX. METHODOLOGICAL DIFFICULTIES OF DEALING WITH SLOPE HETEROGENEITY...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. MEASURING THE COST OF LIVING -- III. TRUE REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES -- IV. AN APPLICATION: THE IRISH ECONOMY'S EXPOSURE TO STERLING -- V. CONCLUSION -- Appendix -- References.

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. VARIANCE ANALYSIS OF THE PESO-DOLLAR REAL EXCHANGE RATE -- III. SUDDEN STOPS AND NONTRADABLES-DRIVEN REAL EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY -- IV. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.