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We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622528
a given level of spending—in these countries. This study analyses such risks and develops measures of fiscal risk … much less vulnerable to fiscal risk than is indicated by standard measures based on break-even prices.. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690163
PROBABILITY AND DEFAULT CORRELATION, IN STCDOS -- IV. IDIOSYNCRATIC AND SYSTEMIC RISK IN STCDO TRANCHES -- V. DATA AND EMPIRICAL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691162
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691193
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. MEASUREMENT OF MARKET RISK -- III. MEASUREMENT OF CREDIT RISK -- IV …. MEASUREMENT OF LIQUIDITY RISK -- V. AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO RISK SENSITIVITY FOR A SECURITY WITH N RISK FACTORS -- VI. AN … INTEGRATED APPROACH TO RISK SENSITIVITY FOR A PORTFOLIO WITH N RISK FACTORS -- VII. EPILOGUE -- YIELD DEFINITIONS -- THE VALUE-AT-RISK …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691196
consumption across countries from the predictions of models with full risk sharing. It is commonly believed that these risk … that the full risk sharing equilibrium may not require much diversification of equity portfolios when there is price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677771
Though theory suggests financial globalization should improve international risk sharing, empirical support has been … limited. We develop a simple welfare-based measure that captures how far countries are from the ideal of perfect risk sharing …. We then take it to data and find international risk sharing has, indeed, improved during globalization. Improved risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677878
This paper provides an updated overview of tax incentives for business investment. It begins by noting that tax competition is likely to be a major force driving countries' tax reforms, and discusses tax incentives as a possible response to this. This is complemented by other arguments for and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677716
important source of consumption risk as two thirds of households are involved in some level of agricultural production. For … South Africa, we focus on labor market risk proxied by transitions from formal employment to informal work or unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014407884
This paper develops a new data-driven metric to capture MacroEconomic Uncertainty (MEU) in the euro area. The measure is constructed as the conditional volatility of the unforecastable components of a large set of time series, accounting for the monetary union as well as cross-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058984