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This paper analyzes the monetary policy response to rising inflation in emerging and developing countries associated with the food and oil price shocks in 2007 and the first half of 2008. It reviews inflation developments in a sample of countries covering all regions and a broad range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677694
Intro -- Content -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. OIL PRICE VOLATILITY -- III. THE DEMAND AND SUPPLY OF CRUDE OIL -- IV. ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN THE OIL MARKETS -- V. SOLUTION OF THE SEM -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690972
This paper studies the potential effects of geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF) in the sub-Saharan Africa region (SSA) through quantifying potential long-term economic costs. The paper considers two alternative GEF scenarios in which trade relations are fully or partially curtailed across world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058582
This paper analyses economic implications and the transmission mechanisms of different options for creating and using fiscal space. For creating fiscal space, we consider prioritizing expenditures, raising revenue, and scaled-up aid. Fiscal space is used for increasing health and education...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677888
multiplier effect), it quickly rises above pre-shock levels. The rebound in investment is facilitated by fiscal space, flexible … investment contractions on impact, but drive private investment to above pre-shock levels. Finally, we exploit firm … sector and in larger and less indebted firms, and to show that the long-run benefits to economic activity of the fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060537
and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggregate demand shock, and a … precautionary oil demand shock. The paper's aim is to model macroeconomic consequences of these shocks within a new Keynesian DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677522
economicconsequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …-2008 -- Figures -- 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations -- 2. Impact of Oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690166
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE GLOBAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT -- III. Balance of Payments Impact -- IV. FISCAL IMPACT -- V. LOOKING FORWARD-POSSIBLE VULNERABILITIES -- VI. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR DEMAND FOR IMF RESOURCES -- APPENDIX I-COMPARISON TO OIL SHOCKS OF THE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691058
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. SOME STYLIZED FACTS ON RESERVE REQUIREMENTS AND EXCESS LIQUIDITY IN AFRICAN COUNTRIES -- III. MEASUREMENT OF EXCESS LIQUIDITY -- IV. EXCESS BANK LIQUIDITY AND MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION MECHANISM -- V. SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- References.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691164
In this paper, we use quarterly data and a novel database on fiscal policy consolidation announcements, for a sample of advanced economies and emerging markets to quantify the effects of fiscal tightening on inflation expectations. We find that fiscal consolidation announcements reduce inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058655