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Going forward, Korea faces two closely related challenges: sustaining economic growth against the backdrop of a rapidly aging population and ameliorating income inequality. This paper argues that a gradual increase in social spending could promote more sustainable and inclusive growth in Korea....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659803
This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690573
We identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define ""growth spells:"" periods of high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample. Growth spells tend to be shorter in African and Latin American countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677563
We analyze the recent evolution of ethnic economic inequality in Peru, a major source of social discontent in the country. Household survey data indicates that recent decades of high output growth also witnessed a substantial narrowing of socioeconomic gaps among ethnicities. Most notably, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060121
This paper assesses the implications of the use of oil revenue for public investment on growth and fiscal sustainability in Cameroon. We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of such investment on growth and on the path of key fiscal indicators, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409427
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. INDIA CIRCA 1980 -- III. HOW HAS INDIA CHANGED SINCE THE EARLY 1980S? -- IV. THE STATES' STORY -- V. UNDERSTANDING POST-1980 PERFORMANCE -- VI. LOOKING AHEAD -- Appendix: Data Sources and Description -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691069
During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall ""flight to safety"" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677655
This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks' foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679020
Korean household debt has reached 148 percent of disposable income, high by emerging market standards. Most of this debt remains at variable rates, shifting the interest rate risk from better diversified financial institutions to households and increasing their sensitivity to macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691143