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While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainability. From this perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677887
We use a new, comprehensive data set on the sovereign debt investor base to document three novel empirical facts: (i) sovereign debt is repatriated - that is, shifted from external private to domestic investors - prior to sovereign defaults; (ii) not all crises are equal: evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060461
bailout was to prevent an exit from the eurozone and possible contagion. Bailouts to avoid sovereign default were … during the Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and understand bailouts in a monetary union, and the large observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059348
This paper surveys the literature on sovereign debt from the perspective of understanding how sovereign debt differs from privately issue debt, and why sovereign debt is deemed safe in some countries but risky in others. The answers relate to the unique power of the sovereign. One the one hand,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060335
This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk and to a lesser extent, by deteriorating funding conditions and investor sentiment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677547
We update the widely used banking crises database by Laeven and Valencia (2008, 2010) with new information on recent and ongoing crises, including updated information on policy responses and outcomes (i.e. fiscal costs, output losses, and increases in public debt). We also update our dating of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618518
in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where … the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677491
The paper examines recent episodes of government involvement in corporate debt restructurings. It argues that corporate debt restructuring is an important step toward recovery from a financial crisis. We then discuss the rationale for, and modalities of, the state intervention in corporate debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727803
Did the occurrence of systemic banking crises in the 1990s and 2000s significantly alter the behavior of banks in the Mercosur? The objective of this paper is to answer this question by analyzing changes in bank behavior after crises in the Mercosur region. To our knowledge, this is the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561078
We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248202