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general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility … mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low … fertility today lowers the domestic return to capital and raises the domestic return to labor. In addition, the paper finds no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825867
This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103
The paper develops a general equilibrium framework to examine the economic implications of population aging in Japan. Particular attention is paid to aggregate saving behavior which is modeled on the basis of empirical age-earnings profiles using a life-cycle approach. The paper's objectives are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769220
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691055
fertility, and (iv) there is a need for more public spending on childcare for age 6-11 in Japan and Korea to help women continue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242431
We present a stylized real model of the Chinese economy with the objective of explaining two features: (1) domestic production is highly competitive in the sense that an accumulation of capital that raises the marginal product of labor elicits increases in employment and output rather than only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677576
The purpose of this paper is to examine factors that have constrained South Africa's growth since the end of apartheid by comparing its GDP components and its saving and investment performance with those of 10 faster-growing countries. The study finds that sluggish investment has undermined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677704
This paper assesses how pro-poor and inclusive Asia's recent growth has been, and what factors have been driving these …, dampening the impact of growth on poverty reduction. As a result, relative to other emerging and developing regions and to Asia … policies that could help redress these trends and broaden the benefits of growth in Asia. These include fiscal policies to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409435
This survey examines the implications of gender differences in economic behavior for macroeconomic policy. It finds that reducing gender inequality and improving the status of women may contribute to higher rates of economic growth and greater macroeconomic stability. Women's relative lack of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826540