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This paper uses three methods to assess movements of real exchange rates in the ECCU over time. First, the purchasing power parity hypothesis is tested and then used to provide a benchmark for equilibrium real exchange rates in the region. Second, a fundamentals-based equilibrium real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677765
Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. EVALUATING MISALIGNMENT ASSESSMENTS FOR ADVANCED ECONOMIES -- III. CROSS-SECTION ANALYSIS OF THE FALL 2006 CGER ESTIMATES -- IV. CONCLUSION -- REFERENCES -- Appendix I. Pooled Regression Results -- Appendix II. Description of Diagnostic Statistics -- Appendix...
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This paper examines whether deviations from PPP are stationary in the presence of nonlinearity, and whether the adjustment toward PPP is symmetric from above and below. Using alternative nonlinear models, our results support mean reversion and asymmetric adjustment dynamics. We find differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769039
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826355
issues in forecasting and structural analysis. An application to the estimation of a system of time-varying reaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825693
Currency option implied volatility predicts more efficiently exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty relative to the Czech koruna, reflecting differences in the frequency of central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market. A GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136
" relationships for forecasting exchange rates. The results, however, remain consistent with using uncovered interest parity as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263741