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We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677365
Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. METHODOLOGY AND DATA -- III. DYNAMIC FACTORS AND EPISODES OF BUSINESS CYCLES -- IV. SOURCES OF BUSINESS CYCLE FLUCTUATIONS: 1960-2005 -- V. GLOBALIZATION AND THE EVOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES -- VI. SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS -- VII. CONCLUSION --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682176
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FINANCE, FINANCIAL STRUCTURE, AND TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT -- III. CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFUSION OF ICT -- IV. METHODOLOGY -- V. EMPIRICAL RESULTS -- VI. CONCLUDING REMARKS.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690964
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FISCAL PERFORMANCE IN ISRAEL -- III. THE MODEL -- IV. FISCAL CONSOLIDATION: NOW VERSUS LATER -- V. TAX CUTS -- VI. CONCLUSION -- APPENDIX. CALIBRATION OF GFM -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691116
We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409056
We construct a high-frequency dataset that combines information on all IMF lending and proxies of monthly economic activity during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-21). Using this novel dataset and standard econometric techniques we find a positive and significant marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059885
While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing relevance. This paper finds that the extent to which fiscal variables affect domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621689
During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall ""flight to safety"" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677655
asset classes between 2004 and 2010. Then I test whether the equity returns of 53 global banks were exposed to this … liquidity risk factor. Results show that the level of bank returns is not directly affected by the SLRI, but their volatility … increases when liquidity conditions deteriorate. I do not find a strong association between bank size and exposure to the SLRI …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790406
indices; second, which bank-specific characteristics explain these risk exposures; third, are there clusters of banks with … is the evolution of banks’ stock price exposure to country-level and global risk factors as approximated by equity … risk, specifically, has been steadily rising since 2008. Banks that are reliant on wholesale funding, have weaker capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242342