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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691027
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE MODEL -- III. EXTENSIONS TO THE BASELINE MODEL -- IV. ESTIMATION AND MODEL COMPARISON -- V. RESULTS -- VI. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- APPENDIX: THE METROPOLIS-HASTINGS ALGORITHM -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691160
GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction of the Euro on exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty … (negative for the Czech koruna), related to its larger exposure to external shocks. For countries in transition to Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136
This study provides evidence that episodes of internal stability of exchange rates among the 11 Euro countries during … Euro on January 1, 1999, should be expected to contribute to reduced volatility of world commodity prices, other things …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263979
United States and the euro area, and we perform model comparisons to study the importance of departing from the law of one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769212
A key issue in creating a new currency union is setting the rates to convert national currencies into the new union currency. Planned unions in the Gulf region and Africa are seeking methods to set the conversion rates when their new currencies are created. We propose a forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528616
over the period from 1948 through 2008. We find that, with the introduction of the euro, trade imbalances among euro area … tends to be more balanced when nominal exchange rates are flexible. Intra-euro area imbalances also seem to have become more … persistent with the introduction of the euro, some of which is linked to labor market inflexibility. Reviewing the direction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680273
The paper analyzes foreign exchange market volatility in four Central European EU accession countries in 2001-2003. By using a Markov regime-switching model, it identifies two regimes representing high- and low-volatility periods. The estimation results show not only that volatilities are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826312
We reassess exchange rate prediction using a wider set of models that have been proposed in the last decade. The performance of these models is compared against two reference specifications-purchasing power parity and the sticky-price monetary model. The models are estimated in first-difference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263978
Increased attention is being paid to assessments of the actual values of countries' real exchange rates relative to their "equilibrium" values as suggested by "fundamental" determining factors. This paper assesses the robustness of alternative approaches and models commonly used to derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264021