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separate inclusion of a labor market in the model helps to anchor inflation even in a situation of adaptive expectations, a … in fitting the data in both Brazil and the USA. In addition, the estimation shows that expectations are more backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059818
A distinctive feature of market-provided services is that some of them have close substitutes at home. Households may therefore switch between consuming home and market services in response to changes in the real wage - the opportunity cost of working at home - and changes in the price of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621655
This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of structural and empirical models in a consistent framework using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
This paper analyzes the monetary policy response to rising inflation in emerging and developing countries associated with the food and oil price shocks in 2007 and the first half of 2008. It reviews inflation developments in a sample of countries covering all regions and a broad range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677694
Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. A Brief Guide Monetary Analysis in the ECB's Strategy and Its Evolution Since 1998 -- III. Survey of the Theoretical Debate -- IV. The Importance of Money for Inflation Forecasts -- V. Disaggregated Monetary Analysis -- VI. How Time Path Dependent Should the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682180
We propose a macroeconomic model with a nonlinear Phillips curve that has a flat slope when inflationary pressures are … subdued and steepens when inflationary pressures are elevated. The nonlinear Phillips curve in our model arises due to a quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059777
nominal wage rigidities. Several interesting implications arise. First, a closed-form solution for a long-run Phillips curve … flatter as inflation declines. Second, macroeconomic volatility shifts the Phillips curve outward, implying that stabilization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677671
The impact of fiscal stimulus depends not only on short-term tax and spending policies, but also on expectations about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677773
At the height of the Great Depression a number of leading U.S. economists advanced a proposal for monetary reform that became known as the Chicago Plan. It envisaged the separation of the monetary and credit functions of the banking system, by requiring 100% reserve backing for deposits. Irving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621666
'Leaning against the wind' (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of higher unemployment and lower inflation, importantly including a higher cost of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014408003