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Monetary policy influences inflation dynamics by exerting impact on a diverse array of commodity prices. At high frequencies, we show that a 10 basis points increase in US monetary policy rate reduces commodity prices between 0.5% and 2.5%, after 18 to 24 business days. Beyond the dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059018
decomposing U.S. interest rates changes into two orthogonal shocks: the pure monetary policy shock and the information news shock … countries, with oil exporters with stronger fundamentals withstanding well the shock and oil importers with weaker fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058845
We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621686
economicconsequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …-2008 -- Figures -- 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations -- 2. Impact of Oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690166
shock and to further decompose each one into "news" and "surprise" shocks. We estimate a VAR on US time series using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059043
As in the rest of the world, inflation in CEMAC surged more quickly and persistently than expected during the 2021-23 period. This paper examines the drivers of inflation dynamics and the contribution of global shocks to inflation persistence in CEMAC. We use a Phillips curve framework combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058603
This paper surveys the evidence on the effectiveness of monetary transmission in low-income countries. It is hard to come away from this review with much confidence in the strength of monetary transmission in such countries. We distinguish between the ""facts on the ground"" and ""methodological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618588
Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. A Brief Guide Monetary Analysis in the ECB's Strategy and Its Evolution Since 1998 -- III. Survey of the Theoretical Debate -- IV. The Importance of Money for Inflation Forecasts -- V. Disaggregated Monetary Analysis -- VI. How Time Path Dependent Should the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682180
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691167
This paper uncovers Taylor rules from estimated monetary policy reactions using a structural VAR on U.S. data from 1959 to 2009. These Taylor rules reveal the dynamic nature of policy responses to different structural shocks. We find that U.S. monetary policy has been far more responsive over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677535