SOURCES AND VARIABLE CONSTRUCTION -- V. ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY AND RESULTS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIXES …

's largest export destination. We use a small structural model and Bayesian estimation to assess the possible impact of a U …

that some types of investment are becoming excessive in China, particularly in inland provinces. In these regions, private … existing trends continue, valuable resources could be wasted at a time when China’s ability to finance investment is facing … toward urbanization or industrialization of Western regions but shifted toward sectors with greater and more lasting …

Over the past decade, China's growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China's supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …