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Measuring Quarterly Economic Growth from Outer Space
Beyer, Robert - 2022
This paper presents a novel framework to estimate the elasticity between nighttime lights and quarterly economic activity. The relationship is identified by accounting for varying degrees of measurement errors in nighttime light data across countries. The estimated elasticity is 1.55 for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060380
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Public Debt and Real GDP: Revisiting the Impact
de Soyres, Constance - 2022
This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060462
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The Myth of Post-Reform Income Stagnation
Carvalho Filho, Irineu E. - 2008
estimate the income growth implied by the evolution of food demand and durable good ownership in post-reform Brazil and Mexico …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677643
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How Can Burundi Raise Its Growth Rate?The Impact of Civil Conflicts and State Intervention on Burundi's Growth Performance
Basdevant, Olivier - 2009
Over the last thirty years Burundi's low economic growth has led to a significant decline in per capita GDP. The … explain a large part of the weak growth performance for the last thirty years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677702
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Why Isn't South Africa Growing Faster? A Comparative Approach
Eyraud, Luc - 2009
The purpose of this paper is to examine factors that have constrained South Africa's growth since the end of apartheid … study finds that sluggish investment has undermined growth since 1996 and that the underinvestment is in part explained by … growth in South Africa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677704
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Reassessing GDP Growth in Countries with Statistical Shortcomings - A Case Study on Turkmenistan
Gogoberishvili, Levan - 2023
shortcomings, which are often manifested as overestimated growth rates. In cases where official data are not adequate for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059057
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Output Drops and the Shocks That Matter.
Becker, Törbjörn I - 2006
Intro -- Contents -- I. MOTIVATION AND RELATED STUDIES -- II. OUTPUT DROPS -- III. SHOCKS -- IV. MULTIVARIATE PROBIT ANALYSIS -- V. ROBUSTNESS AND EXTENSIONS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX TABLES AND FIGURES -- APPENDIX I. HODRICK-PRESCOTT-FILTER BASED DEFINITION OF EVENTS -- APPENDIX II. KERNEL...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691074
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Economic Growth and Total Factor Productivity in Niger.
Fontaine, Thomson - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691029
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Investment; Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
In this paper, we first introduce investment-specific technology (IST) shocks to an otherwise standard international real business cycle model and show that a thoughtful calibration of them along the lines of Raffo (2009) successfully addresses the "quantity", "international comovement",...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671290
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Political Institutions and Output Collapses
Imam, Patrick - 2023
-year periods using a two-dimensional state space based on growth regimes and political institutions. We then model the joint … evolution of output growth and political institutions as a finite state Markov chain, and study how countries move between … states. We find that growth is more likely to be sustained under democracy than under autocracy; output collapses are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059959