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Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. THE MACROECONOMIC BALANCE APPROACH -- III. THE EXTENDED PPP APPROACH: SINGLE-COUNTRY ESTIMATES -- IV. THE EXTENDED PPP APPROACH: PANEL DATA ESTIMATES -- V. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- APPENDIX. METHODOLOGICAL DIFFICULTIES OF DEALING WITH SLOPE HETEROGENEITY...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690973
-- IV. ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK -- V. ESTIMATION RESULTS -- VI. DISCUSSION -- VII. CONCLUSION -- EXPERIENCES OF OTHER COUNTRIES …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691183
The significant real exchange rate appreciation in Armenia and Georgia since 2003, coupled with persistent current account deficits, raises the question of whether real exchange rates have become overvalued. This paper seeks to identify possible exchange rate misalignment by applying the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677593
This paper examines the impact of Dollar exchange rate volatility on firm productivity in Emerging Markets economies (EMs). Using firm level data covering 16 EMs over the period 1998 -2019, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility reduces firm productivity growth. Exploring channels,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059411
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769324
Climate change poses an unprecedented challenge to the world economy and the global financial system. This paper sets out to understand and quantify the impact of climate mitigation, with a focus on climate-related news, which represents an important information source that investors use to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059379
Currency option implied volatility predicts more efficiently exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty relative to the Czech koruna, reflecting differences in the frequency of central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market. A GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136
We reassess exchange rate prediction using a wider set of models that have been proposed in the last decade. The performance of these models is compared against two reference specifications-purchasing power parity and the sticky-price monetary model. The models are estimated in first-difference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263978
This paper investigates the linkages between oil and growth in Congo, where there appears to be no evidence of direct spillover effects. The empirical results suggest however that political instability has a negative effect on non-oil growth, and that the presence of oil could have fueled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826404
During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall "flight to safety" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility generated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605210