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While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainability. From this perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677887
This paper employs a two-country New Keynesian DSGE model to assess the macroeconomic impact of the changes in monetary policy frameworks and the fiscal support in the U.S. and euro area during the pandemic. Moving from a previous target of "below, but close to 2 percent" to a formal symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060056
during the Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and understand bailouts in a monetary union, and the large observed … bailout was to prevent an exit from the eurozone and possible contagion. Bailouts to avoid sovereign default were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059348
This paper employs two established macroeconomic models to show that fiscal policy in the euro area can help monetary policy in reducing inflation. Specifically, a fiscal consolidation of 1 percent of GDP for two years and 0.5 percent in the third year across the euro area would ease the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059251
We analyze the European Central Bank's (ECB's) response to the global financial crisis. Our results suggest that even during the crisis, the core part of ECB's monetary policy transmission-from policy rates to market rates-has continued to operate, but at a decreased efficiency. We also find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677859
This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of structural and empirical models in a consistent framework using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. TAXONOMY OF UNDERLYING INFLATION INDICATORS -- III. FEATURES OF THE INDICATORS -- IV. FORECASTING METHODOLOGY AND ASSESSMENT OF FORECASTING PERFORMANCE -- V. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- References.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691025
This paper reviews the trade-offs involved in the choice of the ECB's monetary policy operational framework. As long as the ECB's supply of reserves remains well in excess of the banks' demand, the ECB will likely continue to employ a floor system for implementing the target interest rate in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058579
The extent to which changes in monetary policy rates lead to changes in loan and deposit rates for households and firms, referred to as 'pass-through', is an important ingredient of monetary policy transmission to output and prices. Using data on seven different bank interest rates in 30...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058763