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We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677365
We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409056
The degree of an economy's monetization, which has an important implication on economic growth, can be affected by the conduct of monetary policy, financial sector reform, and episodes of financial crises. The paper finds that monetization--measured by the ratio of broad money to nominal GDP--...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618525
The real effective exchange rate of the dollar is close to its minimum level for the past 4decades (as of September 2008). At the same time, however, the U.S. trade and currentaccount deficits remain large and, absent a significant correction in coming years, wouldcontribute to a further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677685
We use a general-equilibrium model to explain the rise in global trade and payments imbalances since the mid-1990s, and then to construct adjustment paths to a steady state. Assuming that the shocks giving rise to the imbalances do not suddenly reverse, simulated movements in the U.S. trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677847
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between financial openness and total factor productivity (TFP) growth using an extensive dataset that includes various measures of productivity and financial openness for a large sample of countries. We find that de jure capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677369
If sectoral trade flows obey structural gravity, countries' bilateral trade imbalances are the result of macro trade imbalances, "triangular trade", or pairwise asymmetric trade barriers. Using data for 40 major economies and the Rest of the World, we show that large and pervasive asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060433
Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. METHODOLOGY AND DATA -- III. DYNAMIC FACTORS AND EPISODES OF BUSINESS CYCLES -- IV. SOURCES OF BUSINESS CYCLE FLUCTUATIONS: 1960-2005 -- V. GLOBALIZATION AND THE EVOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES -- VI. SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS -- VII. CONCLUSION --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682176
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FINANCE, FINANCIAL STRUCTURE, AND TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT -- III. CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFUSION OF ICT -- IV. METHODOLOGY -- V. EMPIRICAL RESULTS -- VI. CONCLUDING REMARKS.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690964
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FISCAL PERFORMANCE IN ISRAEL -- III. THE MODEL -- IV. FISCAL CONSOLIDATION: NOW VERSUS LATER -- V. TAX CUTS -- VI. CONCLUSION -- APPENDIX. CALIBRATION OF GFM -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691116