Showing 1 - 10 of 1,043
When inflation originates from distributional conflicts, shifts in inflation expectations, or energy price shocks …, monetary policy (MP) is a costly stabilization instrument. We show that a tax on inflation policy (TIP), which would require … decisions, tackle excessive inflation and reduce output volatility, without exacerbating price distortions. While proposals from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058866
This paper analyzes the inflation forecast errors over the period 2021Q1-2022Q3 using forecasts of core and headline … inflation from the International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook for a large group of advanced and emerging market … information. Focusing on core inflation forecast errors in 2021, four factors provide a potential ex post explanation: a stronger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059444
The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper … constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass …, and more closely related to headline inflation over the next year. The weighted median also has a drawback: in most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059656
In 2021-22, inflation in Europe soared to multidecade highs, consistently exceeding policymakers' forecasts and … surprising with its wide cross-country dispersion. This paper analyzes the key drivers of the inflation surge in Europe and its …'s economies. Inflation is more sensitive to domestic slack and external price pressures in emerging European economies compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059690
inflation is associated with a higher elasticity of the poverty rate to economic downturn, but at lower inflation, there is no … relationship between inflation and the elasticity of the poverty rate to growth or recession. Trade openness and changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599492
This paper looks at the dynamics of (dis)equilibria during post-command transition. It tries to define an optimal mix between external and internal disequilibrium and to apply this concept to the analysis of the Romanian economy. The forced adjustment of the balance of payments in the 1980s is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605012
We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790323
Economic performance in many emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) improved substantially over the past twenty years. The past decade was particularly good—for the first time EMDEs spent more time in expansion and had smaller downturns thanadvanced economies. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142060
The study looks at the cyclical behavior of the markups and assesses its impact on inflation dynamics. The analysis … countercyclical manner, with a short-term positive impact on inflation. This implies that the countercyclical pattern of the markups … is one factor among others that contribute to the relatively weak output gap-inflation co-movement. In the context of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293762
growth suggests Balassa-Samuelson factors at play. However, after 1990, the tradable-nontradable labor productivity gap, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826517