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of more crisis prone regimes suggests no simple dividing line between safe floats and risky intermediate regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123856
nature of the crisis? Contrary to the commonly held view that foreign banks play a stabilizing role during domestic banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242311
The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242339
Credibility is the bedrock of any crisis stress test. The use of stress tests to manage systemic risk was introduced by … constructing an effective crisis stress test. It combines financial markets impact studies of previous exercises with relevant case …. Pertinent concepts, issues and nuances particular to crisis stress testing are also discussed. The findings may be useful for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142183
This paper develops an open-economy DSGE model with an optimizing banking sector to assess the role of capital flows, macro-financial linkages, and macroprudential policies in emerging Asia. The key result is that macro-prudential measures can usefully complement monetary policy. Countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959468
Many central banks target an inflation rate near two percent. This essay argues that policymakers would do better to target four percent inflation. A four percent target would ease the constraints on monetary policy arising from the zero bound on interest rates, with the result that economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790372
In this paper, we analyze how lack of credibility and transparency of monetary and fiscal policies undermines the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies to isolate the economy from commodity price fluctuations. We develop a general equilibrium model for a commodity-exporting economy where macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790403
We explore optimal monetary and macroprudential policy rules for a small open economy. Delegating 'lean against the wind' squarely to macroprudential policy provides a more robust policy mix to shock uncertainty—(i) if macroprudential measures exist, there are no significant welfare gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123819
In this paper we examine the channels through which innovations to policy variables— policy rates or monetary aggregates—affect such macroeconomic variables as output and inflation in Sri Lanka. The effectiveness of monetary policy instruments is judged through the prism of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123834
The ongoing demographic changes will bring about a substantial shift in the size and the age composition of the population, which will have significant impact on the global economy. Despite potentially grave consequences, demographic changes usually do not take center stage in many macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123847