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This paper critically reviews recent work regarding the sustainability of public debt. It argues that Debt Sustainability Analyses (DSAs) should be more than mere mechanical simulation exercises. Instead, a DSA should be linked to some objective regarding the distribution of fiscal burdens and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012689867
This paper assesses Japan's fiscal stance in the past and the future with a stochastic structural model called the Buffer-Stock Model of the Government. Our retrospective analysis suggests that the fiscal stance in the 1990s and the early 2000s was overall looser than the model recommendations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060166
The significant real exchange rate appreciation in Armenia and Georgia since 2003, coupled with persistent current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677593
these errors is developed and applied to household-level data from Armenia. We find evidence of systematic under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677662
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. IMPEDIMENTS FOR MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION IN ARMENIA -- III. EMPIRICAL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691167
Raising Armenia's long-term growth prospects is critical to meet the pressing need for jobs, achieve higher living … standards, and arrest emigration. Armenia's long-term growth prospects have weakened since the global COVID-19 crisis, while … the potential of the tradable sector by focusing on products with higher complexity to sustainably increase Armenia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060013
In Armenia, both external and domestic financing face challenges. Armenia's share of inward foreign direct investment … (FDI) in private external financing has declined significantly over the past decade. Access to domestic finance in Armenia … are reported among major challenges for increasing access to finance for firms in Armenia. This paper finds that to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060223
This paper presents an overview of the Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model (AFSM), which is a structural, New-Keynesian, DSGE, small open economy model with a rich fiscal block that includes several expenditure and revenue instruments, and types of debt. The AFSM is now a formal part of the Ministry of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060361
The effectiveness of recent fiscal stimulus packages significantly depends on the assumption of non-Ricardian savings behavior. We show that, under the same assumption, fiscal deficits can have worrisome implications if they turn out to be permanent. First, if they occur in large countries they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677897
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690998