Showing 1 - 10 of 69
This paper evaluates the demand for broad money (M2) in The Gambia for January 1988-June 2007. There appears to be a long-run relationship for demand for real M2, but the relationship is not stable. Exogenous output shocks, financial innovation, changes in income velocity, and inadequate data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677841
We assess the competitiveness of Mauritius in recent years using two approaches. First, we estimate the difference between the equilibrium and the actual real exchange rate using four methods: the macroeconomic balance approach, the single-equation fundamentals approach, the capital-enhanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677660
Inflation in low-income countries is often high and volatile, driven by external shocks. In addition, inflation in fragile states is affected by highly volatile domestic factors that complicate monetary policy's ability to deliver price stability. We estimate the drivers of inflation in Guinea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059498
This paper studies the potential effects of geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF) in the sub-Saharan Africa region (SSA) through quantifying potential long-term economic costs. The paper considers two alternative GEF scenarios in which trade relations are fully or partially curtailed across world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058582
in the analysis of monetary policy in low-income countries (LICs), with an application to Kenya. We provide a general … target misses in terms of structural shocks (aggregate demand, policy, shocks to money demand, etc). In the case of Kenya, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790361
Is rapid economic growth experienced by the East African Community during the past decade built on solid foundations? To gain some clues, we use a variety of newly-collected and existing data sources to analyze the structural transformation of output and exports, as well as indicators of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123874
policy that took place in 2011 in four members of the East African Community: Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Rwanda. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242205
forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use the model to run several policy … recover the sequence of domestic and foreign macroeconomic shocks that account for business cycle dynamics in Kenya over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
The analysis in this paper suggests that the large fiscal deficits that Pakistan has experienced over most of the period since 1970 led to some crowding out of private investment, resulting in slower output growth than would otherwise have been observed. Past fiscal deficits have also resulted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248177
Cambodia became dollarized suddenly in the early 1990s, as a result of massive dollar inflows stemming from a postconflict situation. Considering that the amount of dollars in circulation is unusually high, we attempt to estimate the true degree of dollarization empirically. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248256