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This paper uses VAR models to examine the magnitude and sources of growth spillovers to the Baltics from key trading partners, as well asfrom the real effective exchange rate (REER). Our results show there are significant cross-country spillovers to the Baltics with those from the EU outweighing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677789
Should policymakers still be concerned about economic growth in trading partners? Have developing and emerging market countries decoupled from the US enough to grow despite significant recession in the US? Using VAR models, this paper addresses these questions for Nigeria in the context of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677490
This paper studies how output fluctuations in Russia are transmitted internationally. Using vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic panel models, the paper finds that Russia's output fluctuations are an important driver of output fluctuations of countries in the region, especially for oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059091
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058362
This paper documents the evolution of measures of financial integration for major advanced and emerging markets economies, assesses whether advances in integration have had a significant positive impact on countries' risk-adjusted growth opportunities, and identifies some of the channels through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677595
Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sector … process relies primarily on collateral, like in China. As a result, the impact on economic activity of a collapse in real … estate investment in China though a low-probability event would be sizable, with large spillovers to a number of China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679024
China and Hong Kong SAR during the subprime crisis. Using both univariate and multivariate GARCH models, this paper finds … that China's stock market is not immune to the financial crisis, as evidenced by the price and volatility spillovers from … the United States than China's returns, and past volatility shocks in the United States have a more persistent effec …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677827
We estimate the impact of distinct types of slowdowns in China on countries and firms globally. First, we combine a … structural vector autoregression framework with a broad-based measure of domestic economic activity in China to distinguish … stronger trade links with China; and (iii) spillovers from Chinese supply shocks are stronger than spillovers from demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059044
China's equity markets internationalization process started in the early 2000s but accelerated after 2012, when Chinese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059718
This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward … existing and new services as well as reorienting the production of tradable goods toward domestic markets. In China's case … paper shows that while rebalancing China's growth toward a domestic-demand-led economy would likely raise aggregate e …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677831