Commodities are back following a stellar run of price performance, attracting financial investor attention. What are the fundamental reasons to hold commodities? One reason is the exposure offered to underlying risk factors. In this paper, I assess the macro risk exposure offered by commodity...

This paper constructs new indicators of liquidity for equity, bond and money markets in major advanced and emerging market countries, documents their evolution and comovements, and assesses the extent to which such measures are determinants of selected spreads and proxy measures of countries'...

Credit Default Swap spreads have been used as a leading indicator of distress. Default probabilities can be extracted from CDS spreads, but during distress it is important to take account of the stochastic nature of recovery value. The recent episodes of Landbanski, WAMU and Lehman illustrate...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY -- II. WHAT ARE RISK PREMIUMS ON THE DOLLAR AND HOW CAN WE MEASURE THEM? -- III. CAPITAL FLOWS AND RISK PREMIUMS -- IV. EXPLAINING RISK PREMIUM MOVEMENTS -- V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- DATA AND REGRESSION METHODOLOGY -- References.

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. PREVIOUS LITERATURE -- III. MODEL SPECIFICATION -- IV. ESTIMATION -- V. DATA AND PRELIMINARY STATISTICS -- VI. MAIN RESULTS -- VII. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.

There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and unanticipated jumps. The presence of frequent jumps makes it natural to ask whether there is a premium for jump risk embedded in observed bond yields. This paper identifies a class of...

This paper tests empirically the theoretical prediction that the country premium paid by emerging economies on sovereign debt increases with the amount of debt up to a certain critical level, above which the supply of foreign funds becomes fixed. The results confirm this theoretical prediction....

Credit Default Swap spreads have been used as a leading indicator of distress. Default probabilities can be extracted from CDS spreads, but during distress it is important to take account of the stochastic nature of recovery value. The recent episodes of Landbanski, WAMU and Lehman illustrate...

The paper analyzes and quantifies the importance of sovereign risk in determining corporate default premia (yield spreads). It also investigates the extent to which the practice by rating agencies and banks of not rating companies higher than their sovereign ("country or sovereign ceiling") is...

In this paper, we examine the ability of the contingent claims approach (CCA) to identify corporate sector and economy-wide vulnerabilities. We apply the Moody's MfRisk model, which uses aggregated CCA principles, to assess vulnerabilities retroactively in two historical country cases. The...