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This paper offers an empirical model of the drivers of the level of the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) that is now part of the IMF's methodology for the assessment of external positions, including exchange rates. It constructs a measure of the level of the REER and it offers a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014407835
reserves by comparing the cost of holding reserves with their benefits as an insurance against a shock. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677596
The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate. This paper develops an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677607
nature of the shock, the economy's structural characteristics, and the level of reserves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677541
, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409370
This paper develops and empirically tests a political economy model of sovereign debt. The main incentive for repaying sovereign debt is to maintain access to international capital markets. However, in a democracy, one generation may choose default regardless of its consequences for future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677458
This paper proposes a new empirical measure of cooperative versus conflictual crisis resolution following sovereign default and debt distress. The index of government coerciveness is presented as a proxy for excusable versus inexcusable default behaviour and used to evaluate the costs of default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677723
We use a general-equilibrium model to explain the rise in global trade and payments imbalances since the mid-1990s, and then to construct adjustment paths to a steady state. Assuming that the shocks giving rise to the imbalances do not suddenly reverse, simulated movements in the U.S. trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677847
austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically … significant. In a weak economic environment, the likelihood of a self-defeating austerity shock is much higher than in normal … times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622446
The recent credit crisis started as a credit shock and then rapidly promulgated in the form of market and funding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012678160