Cherif, Reda; Hasanov, Fuad - 2012
austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically … significant. In a weak economic environment, the likelihood of a self-defeating austerity shock is much higher than in normal … times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …