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The recent housing bust has reignited interest in psychological theories of speculative excess (Shiller, 2007). I investigate this issue by identifying a segment of the U.S. population-evangelical protestants-that may be less prone to speculative motives, and uncover a significant negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677736
This paper documents developments in mortgage credit and the housing sector in Latin America over the past decade, and … compares them with those of other emerging economies. In particular, it examines the real estate and mortgage markets to assess … whether (i) growth in mortgage credit is excessive compared to long-term trends; (ii) trends in house prices reflect changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620961
equilibrium model and show that although monetary easing decreases the mortgage payment burden, it would raise house prices, lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059837
Housing market developments are in the spotlight in Europe. Over-stretched valuations amid tightening financial conditions and a cost-of-living crisis have increased risks of a sustained downturn and exposed challenging trade-offs for macroprudential policy between ensuring financial system...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059558
Housing cycles and their impact on the financial system and the macroeconomy have become the center of attention following the global financial crisis. This paper documents the characteristics of housing cycles in a large set of countries, and examines the determinants of house price movements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621624
mortgage interest rate leads to a 20 percent decrease in a typical bank's distance to default. Finally, we look at the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541450
The financial crisis showed, once again, that neglecting real estate booms can have disastrous consequences. In this paper, we spell out the circumstances under which a more active policy agenda on this front would be justified. Then, we offer tentative insights on the pros and cons as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019603
past two decades. It finds that (i) mortgage markets have experienced rapid development, which has led to lower private per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561070
This paper examines the Argentine experience with GDP-indexed warrants in order to gauge the existence of a novelty premium on new financial instruments. It develops a Monte Carlo pricing exercise to calculate the expected net present value of payments, on the basis of various forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677569
Policy-makers have attributed the scale of the credit crisis and its profound impact on money markets (as well as financial sector stability) to the fast rise of securitization and the way it has arguably complicated both the conduct of monetary policy and the effect of interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677712