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This paper studies the transmission of macroprudential policies across both financial and non financial sectors of the economy. It first documents that tighter macroprudential regulations implemented in Europe over the period 2008-2017 lowered default risk not only in the financial, but also in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060258
The recent credit crisis started as a credit shock and then rapidly promulgated in the form of market and funding illiquidity before inducing solvency problems at some financial institutions. This column presents empirical evidence mapping the transmission channels of the crisis
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012678160
We examine the linkages between market and funding liquidity pressures, as well as their interaction with solvency … order to test for the transmission of liquidity shocks across U.S. financial markets. It is found that the interaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409053
Central bank liquidity lines have gained momentum since the global financial crisis as a crosscurrency liquidity … management tool. We provide a complete timeline of the ECB liquidity line announcements and study their signalling and spillback … effects. The announcement of an ECB euro liquidity line decreases the premium paid by foreign agents to borrow euros in FX …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059508
Developing a systemic liquidity stress testing tool is challenging due to data constraints and hard-to-model behavioral … factors. There has yet to be a uniformly accepted model partly because the nature of systemic liquidity risks differs … significantly across countries. This paper offers a simple Excel-based tool to assess the high-level impact of aggregate liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059893
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. MACROECONOMIC-BASED MODELS -- III. CREDIT SCORING (OR ACCOUNTING-BASED) MODELS -- IV. RATINGS-BASED MODELS -- V. HYBRID MODELS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691085
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. CDS VALUATION AND THE BASIS -- III. THE ROLE OF RECOVERY -- IV. DATA ANALYSIS -- V. IMPLIED RECOVERY VALUES UNDER NO ARBITRAGE -- VI. IMPLIED RECOVERY VALUES UNDER NO ARBITRAGE WITH CTD -- VII. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691130
Credit Default Swap spreads have been used as a leading indicator of distress. Default probabilities can be extracted from CDS spreads, but during distress it is important to take account of the stochastic nature of recovery value. The recent episodes of Landbanski, WAMU and Lehman illustrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677752
We present an analysis of the sensitivity of household mortgage probabilities of default (PDs) and loss given default (LGDs) on unemployment rates, house price growth, interest rates, and other drivers. A structural micro-macro simulation model is used to that end. It is anchored in the balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060521
We develop a mixed-frequency, tree-based, gradient-boosting model designed to assess the default risk of privately held firms in real time. The model uses data from publicly-traded companies to construct a probability of default (PD) function. This function integrates high-frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080331