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for individual characteristics, local average human capital is positively correlated with individual wages, with estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248310
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622528
increases in employment and output rather than only in wages; and (2) even though the domestic saving rate is high, foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677576
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691056
We compile a novel database on average public and private sector wages and public-private wage differentials, which we … counter-cyclically, increasing during economic downturns, and increases prior to elections. Both private sector wages and … inflation respond positively to changes in public wages, albeit with significant heterogeneity in the effects across countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059582
Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707567
This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GDP shock in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and MENA oil exporters to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690165
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690968
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. VOLATILITY AND PREDICTABILITY OF AID: WHAT EXACTLY IS THE ISSUE? -- III. DATA AND MEASUREMENT ISSUES -- IV. MEASURING THE VARIABILITY OF AID: THREE APPROACHES -- V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691019
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. INTEREST RATES AND BUSINESS CYCLES -- III. THE GLOBAL ECONOMY MODEL WITH THE FINANCIAL ACCELERATOR -- IV. THE EFFECTS OF A 1 PERCENT U.S. INTEREST RATE HIKE -- V. A REPEAT OF THE GLOBAL BOND MARKET ROUT OF 1994? -- VI. WHAT ROLE FOR MONETARY POLICY? --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691077