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We estimate the macroeconomic effects of import tariffs and trade policy uncertainty in the United States, combining theory-consistent and narrative sign restrictions in Bayesian SVARs. We find mostly adverse consequences of protectionism, in aggregate and across sectors and regions. Tariff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058747
This paper examines the mechanisms through which output volatility is related to trade openness using an industry-level panel dataset of manufacturing production and trade. The main results are threefold. First, sectors more open to international trade are more volatile. Second, trade is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677612
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622528
increases in employment and output rather than only in wages; and (2) even though the domestic saving rate is high, foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677576
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691056
We compile a novel database on average public and private sector wages and public-private wage differentials, which we … counter-cyclically, increasing during economic downturns, and increases prior to elections. Both private sector wages and … inflation respond positively to changes in public wages, albeit with significant heterogeneity in the effects across countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059582
-induced productivity increases at the firm level, which get passed on to industry wages. Since tariff reductions were proportionately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825907
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. A BENCHMARK: PRINCIPLES OF DECENTRALIZATION REFORM -- III. UGANDA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013042569
Is rapid economic growth experienced by the East African Community during the past decade built on solid foundations? To gain some clues, we use a variety of newly-collected and existing data sources to analyze the structural transformation of output and exports, as well as indicators of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123874
policy that took place in 2011 in four members of the East African Community: Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Rwanda. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242205