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During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall ""flight to safety"" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677655
The present paper investigates whether tourism specialization is a viable strategy for development. We estimate standard growth equations augmented with a variable measuring tourism specialization using instrumental variables techniques for a large cross-section of countries for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677835
This paper analyses economic implications and the transmission mechanisms of different options for creating and using fiscal space. For creating fiscal space, we consider prioritizing expenditures, raising revenue, and scaled-up aid. Fiscal space is used for increasing health and education...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677888
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY -- III. TRENDS IN GDP AND PER CAPITA GDP GROWTH -- IV. GROWTH ACCOUNTING AND TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY -- V. IMPLICATIONS FOR MEDIUM-TERM GROWTH -- VI. DETERMINANTS OF PRODUCTIVITY IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA -- VII. SUMMARY AND...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691125
This paper documents the evolution of measures of financial integration for major advanced and emerging markets economies, assesses whether advances in integration have had a significant positive impact on countries' risk-adjusted growth opportunities, and identifies some of the channels through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677595
We examine the relationship between trade and financial globalization and the rise in inequality in most countries in … recent decades. We find technological progress as having a greater impact than globalization on inequality. The limited … overall impact of globalization reflects two offsetting tendencies: whereas trade globalization is associated with a reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409050
Should policymakers still be concerned about economic growth in trading partners? Have developing and emerging market countries decoupled from the US enough to grow despite significant recession in the US? Using VAR models, this paper addresses these questions for Nigeria in the context of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677490
This paper uses VAR models to examine the magnitude and sources of growth spillovers to the Baltics from key trading partners, as well asfrom the real effective exchange rate (REER). Our results show there are significant cross-country spillovers to the Baltics with those from the EU outweighing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691055
The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we examine the middle-income trap as a special case of growth slowdowns, which are identified as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790409