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This paper critically reviews recent work regarding the sustainability of public debt. It argues that Debt … Sustainability Analyses (DSAs) should be more than mere mechanical simulation exercises. Instead, a DSA should be linked to some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012689867
This paper assesses Japan's fiscal stance in the past and the future with a stochastic structural model called the Buffer-Stock Model of the Government. Our retrospective analysis suggests that the fiscal stance in the 1990s and the early 2000s was overall looser than the model recommendations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060166
Implementation of fiscal consolidation by advanced economies in coming years needs to take into account the short and long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615787
We investigate the impact of remittances on public debt sustainability and detail how the traditional debt-to-GDP ratio … can be modified to create a more accurate representation of debt sustainability for a country that receives significant … remittance inflows. The main result is that inclusion of remittances into the traditional debt sustainability analysis alters the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677866
While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing relevance. This paper finds that the extent to which fiscal variables affect domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621689
The effectiveness of recent fiscal stimulus packages significantly depends on the assumption of non-Ricardian savings behavior. We show that, under the same assumption, fiscal deficits can have worrisome implications if they turn out to be permanent. First, if they occur in large countries they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677897
Fiscal impulse measures are used in the WEO and elsewhere to indicate the changing impact of the budget on the economy. Such measures are intended to provide more accurate indications of whether the budget is becoming more or less expansionary than would just observing moments in the actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248137
The increased budget deficit caused by the privatization of a public pension plan does not imply a relaxation of the stance of fiscal policy. The reform's impact on the fiscal stance and national saving depends primarily on its effect on the sum of explicit and implicit public debt and on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263836
the fiscal consolidation and initial fiscal conditions, affects the sustainability of adjustment. Initial fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264087
This paper analyzes the impact of strained government finances on macroeconomic stability and the transmission of fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Curdia and Woodford (2009), we study a "sovereign risk channel" through which sovereign default risk raises funding costs in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650633