Showing 1 - 10 of 68
This paper evaluates the demand for broad money (M2) in The Gambia for January 1988-June 2007. There appears to be a long-run relationship for demand for real M2, but the relationship is not stable. Exogenous output shocks, financial innovation, changes in income velocity, and inadequate data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677841
We assess the competitiveness of Mauritius in recent years using two approaches. First, we estimate the difference between the equilibrium and the actual real exchange rate using four methods: the macroeconomic balance approach, the single-equation fundamentals approach, the capital-enhanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677660
This paper studies the potential effects of geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF) in the sub-Saharan Africa region (SSA) through quantifying potential long-term economic costs. The paper considers two alternative GEF scenarios in which trade relations are fully or partially curtailed across world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058582
Inflation in low-income countries is often high and volatile, driven by external shocks. In addition, inflation in fragile states is affected by highly volatile domestic factors that complicate monetary policy's ability to deliver price stability. We estimate the drivers of inflation in Guinea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059498
This paper forecasts inflation in Sudan following two methodologies: the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model and … indicators explaining inflation in Sudan. Inflation forecasts based on both approaches suggest that inflationary pressures for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677800
This paper investigates inflation dynamics in Sudan using three different approaches: the single equation model, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677638
-aspect issue. We also applied the methodology used in this paper to South Sudan, one of the most fragile countries in the world to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059167
The analysis in this paper suggests that the large fiscal deficits that Pakistan has experienced over most of the period since 1970 led to some crowding out of private investment, resulting in slower output growth than would otherwise have been observed. Past fiscal deficits have also resulted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248177
Cambodia became dollarized suddenly in the early 1990s, as a result of massive dollar inflows stemming from a postconflict situation. Considering that the amount of dollars in circulation is unusually high, we attempt to estimate the true degree of dollarization empirically. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248256
In this paper, the IMF's new Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the contribution of unbalanced growth to the decline in the share of goods production in Australia and New Zealand. The simulation results suggest that faster productivity growth in the tradable goods sector in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248284